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Gaming Guru

 

Are Dice Thrown Randomly?

21 August 2001

Is it rational to say that dice are thrown randomly?

Almost since craps has been invented, theorists have been arguing whether it is possible to shift the odds in your favour and achieve a huge percentage edge over the casinos. Can the crapshooter really do this?

In the great, undecided dice control debate, much derision is heaped upon the proponents of dice control. I have some difficulties with the practicalities and theory of dice control, yet the anti-dice control lobby is much less convincing.

Standing in the way of progress does not always make you right. The responsibility of proof concerning card clumping systems, progression systems, trend/streak systems, etc. rests with their advocates. Dice control is different however. The throw of a die is a completely deterministic physical act. Math types who dismiss betting systems flippantly cannot do so quite so easily when it comes to dice control: physics determines the ultimate answer to the question.

Moreover, an extensive heuristic has been built up in the literature concerning the various dice control methods. Dice controllers--men with credibility in the world of advantage play such as Steve Forte--have demonstrated their skills under controlled conditions.

As difficult as it is to sanction the possibility of dice control, it is educative to look at the alternative--that a human being, however skilled, can exert not even the most minute influence of the dice (remember, the smart bettor has to influence the dice only minutely in order to profit at the crap table). This is scarcely believable.

A parallel might be made with the question of the existence of extra-terrestrial life. The noted Science Fiction author Arthur C. Clarke commented that, while skeptical of the evidence presented for extra-terrestrial life, the alternative, that we are alone in the universe, seemed more fantastic still.

John May
John May is one of the most feared gamblers in the world. He has developed "advantage play" techniques for many games that are considered unbeatable.

Books by John May:

> More Books By John May

John May
John May is one of the most feared gamblers in the world. He has developed "advantage play" techniques for many games that are considered unbeatable.

Books by John May:

> More Books By John May